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Conceptus, Inc. Message Board

  • analyst112 analyst112 Dec 11, 2003 12:17 AM Flag

    Conf call

    So they lowered the sales for next year to $23MM from $29MM but eps are only forecast to be $.05 worse at -$.80. Big deal. (cash flow neutral in 5 quarters). This is a $7 billion market in total(7.5 million women 35-45 with 2 kids) and if they get 5%, it $350 million in sales. If I had a choice, there is no question that I would want an Essure procedure. They have to get insurance coverage and they will get it because productivity is 5 times better than tubal and safer. This will be a rocky road but it is a better mousetrap so it will prevail over tubal and the pill. No woman wants to stay on the pill long term. No pregnancies after 3 years of data. Hang in there it always takes longer than forecast. This can be a big winner.

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