my uncle, 'wee chick' lives in scotland. Visiting him for a couple weeks it rained all the time and wee chick loved to talk about the weather. I asked him, 'Uncle Chick, how can you tell the weather?"
He said, "come wi' me outside." I walked outside with him and he pointed my gaze across the river Clyde to the hills on the far side of the river and said,"Do ye see the hills of Helensborough?" Yes I said. He said, "If ye can see the hills of Helensborough it's about to rain....."
Not really. Yes the outcome is only one of two options, but that does not mean the odds of one outcome is equal to the other. Now, what are the odds? Wish I knew for sure!! Seems like we have indications that brings it clearly above 50%.
I am invested and holding strong. Clear evidence I believe the odds are greater for a positive outcome. However, others are just as convinced that the outcome will be bad (shorties). Time will tell the final result, but we will never know what the true odds are/were.