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Nautilus Inc. Message Board

  • auz13 auz13 Mar 31, 2003 11:00 AM Flag

    Future EPS

    Lets have some fun ..... I'd like to hear what other people speculate the EPS in Nautilis will be in 5yrs and little explaination of how they got there

    2008 EPS Breakdown

    Bowflex
    50,000 units/yr
    Revenue $75M
    10% margin --> 0.25

    Nautilus Sleep System
    25% growth
    Revenue $120M
    15% margin --> 0.60

    Commercial Retail
    10% growth
    Revenue $375M
    5% margin --> 0.60

    Treadclimber
    Revenue $100M
    15% margin --> 0.50

    Total
    Revenue $670M - $1.95 EPS

    This estimate is somewhat reasonable, though it depends on a whole bunch of good things happens (Commercial becomes profitable, continue selling Bowflex, Sleep System solid growth and Treadclimber becoming a big hit) ..... though as you can see what happens if they are unable to make Commercial profitable, if Treadclimbe isn't a big hit, Sleep System growth stalls, or their out of the Bowflex business in 5yrs. (it won't be pretty)

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