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Nautilus Inc. Message Board

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  • astral_tsar astral_tsar Jan 20, 2004 6:34 PM Flag

    Value Estimate -- Comments?

    ericvann --

    Yeah, all the numbers can give the impression of accuracy when the reverse is true.

    For example, my $10 -to- $40 value range is far from precise! But it has been helpful in giving me the confidence to buy heavily at $11, with the simple idea of holding until I see something more in the middle. But if the price goes to the middle of that 10-to-40 range in the near term, I won't have any idea at all of what comes next.

    I'll check out the Damodoran thing. Clearly price needs to enter the picture. If I just fool with that exact formula, though, and pretend that the business equity is equal to the book value, then I get something like:

    (P/B) / (E/B) = P/E.

    So I'm confused again.

17.59-0.43(-2.39%)Jun 24 4:02 PMEDT