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Nautilus Inc. Message Board

  • astral_tsar astral_tsar Mar 4, 2004 10:19 AM Flag


    Yeah, I think I agree. I've whined repeatedly that the intrinsic value of this stock appears to fall between $10 and $30. It's very hard to see numbers outside that range as realistic.

    So when the price was above the high end ($35 to $45), shorts were moving in and longs were in denial. Then when the price approached the low end ($10 to $12), new longs moved in and many shorts went into denial. Both very emotional situations.

    Now, with the share price fluctuating say between $16 and $17, what's to yell about? Maybe the shares are selling for a 20% discount or maybe not. We don't have that tension between reality and fantasy anymore. To use a movie metaphor, we've escaped from the David Lynch film into an episode of Friends.

    For now ...

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    • The more I think about it I'm afraid I'm gonna have to go ahead and disagree with you on that one. I finished my MBA at Stern part time last year with majors in accounting and finance. It's pretty clear to me you don't have an MBA like I which disqualifies you to really make and intelligent comment about intrinsic value about anything. Unfortunately your analysis is all messed up and mixed with a lot of emotion yet devoid of any real substantive rational or logic. I'm afraid I have to disagree completely with you.

      • 3 Replies to hencklerl2345
      • <It's pretty clear to me you don't have an MBA like I which disqualifies you to really make and intelligent comment about intrinsic value about anything>

        Wow. As a fellow top-tier school MBA, I have to say that the arrogant tone of your message is the kind of crap that gives MBA's a bad name.

        You do not need an MBA to evaluate a stock or determine intrinsic value. I worked at a hedge fund prior to earning my MBA, and I think that any sharp person with securities valuation experience is just as qualified to comment on valuation as any MBA is.

        In fact, most of my former coworkers had far superior valuation skills compared with my average MBA classmate including those majoring in finance or accounting.

        Thank god you got your MBA, because before that you were just part of the ignorant masses of non-MBA's breathing our air and using our resources.

      • Wow, congratulations and nice to meet you for the first time. I wonder what henckler12345 thinks?

      • I have an MBA too and a degree in finance. You can wipe your ass with both of them. School is only 10% of real knowledge my friend.

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