Recent

% | $
Quotes you view appear here for quick access.

Nautilus Inc. Message Board

  • sblazo1 sblazo1 Feb 13, 2006 6:17 PM Flag

    Recent Strength

    Anyone else find the recent strength of the stock strange. There appears to be rather significant accumulation of the stock by big hitters and the volume has hit much higher plateau then previous levels. All this in the face of a devastating quarterly report. Hey I'm not complaining I just don't understand.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • The move from 29 down into the mid teens was an easy call (not the timing, which was sooner than I expected, but the price move). In my opinion, and please quote me on this later, another move to $10 or so is pretty much a no brainer within a year or two. (The thinking is that EPS has fallen from 1.00 to 0.70 in three years. Use a 12x multiple on the 70 cents and you get $8.40. Use a 10x multiple and ... well.)

      But I was surprised by the move *up* to 29, and I have nothing to say about these $2 blips in either direction.

      • 1 Reply to astral_tsar
      • Astral, you wrote: "The move from 29 down into the mid teens was an easy call (not the timing, which was sooner than I expected, but the price move). In my opinion, and please quote me on this later, another move to $10 or so is pretty much a no brainer within a year or two. (The thinking is that EPS has fallen from 1.00 to 0.70 in three years. Use a 12x multiple on the 70 cents and you get $8.40. Use a 10x multiple and ... well.)

        But I was surprised by the move *up* to 29, and I have nothing to say about these $2 blips in either direction."
        The move from the low of $13.50 to $16.73(today) hardly qualifies as a "blip" but rather a 25% rise. For example if someone invested $100000 at the market top of $29 he would be down $42300 today but if the same person invested $100000 at the bottom he would be up $23900. The gain is not that much smaller then the drop from $29. I'll make it easier for you: if you invested equal amounts at the top and bottom of a stock that went from $29 to $1 to $2, you would be ahead not behind, even though the rise was only a $1 blip while the fall was $27!

    • Flea,

      Would you gather some of your minions from the "flea circus" and do whatever you need to do so as the gap left by this pig on 1/18 gets filled ASAP?

 
NLS
21.20+0.29(+1.39%)May 22 4:02 PMEDT