This collapse will be the grand daddy of all collapses
I've read your postings and wonder why your even on this message board. the economy is recovering, the market is up, jobs are improving, Xmas sales were strong. Real estate is obviously coming back. You will find what you are looking for; no reason to let the truth get in the way of your story.
only because you live in a progressive state. many other more conservative states are on the road to recovery. CRE is very regional. CRE is close to the bottom. How many CRE permits applied for or issued these days????? very few! what that means is any expansion will eat up current inventory. vacancies are at historic highs. the small M&A activity is picking up according to the wealth managers I know. those with money see the end of the decline and are feeling more comfortable putting money to work whcih means buying up marginal and mismanaged business and pprofiting on the turnaround. business hasn't hired because business is getting more production out of each employee. Fact is, the production cureve is leveling off and the incremental gains are less and less which essentially means to increase production, business has to hire empolyees. I hred 7 new employees in the past 6 months which is a 20% employee increse and my revenues increased 40% year over. More impressive, margins increade over 100%. My OH virtually reamined the same with only the cost of insurance (healthcare, workers comp and liability ins. increaseing). I certainly have not had to increase wages over the past 2 years and I sure as hell didn't give out bonus $. I let marginal employees go prior to the big crash and have replaced those marginal employees for 15% less money and getting 10-20% more production. If commodities prices stay in check, I should see consistant margins over the next few years and should see 25%. I assume I'm not much differnt from any other business except I am well capitalized, didn't leverage nyself in business and have plenty of operating cash and consistant cash flows.