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ONYX Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

  • mwolfearch mwolfearch Jul 20, 2012 3:57 PM Flag

    ONXX will track like CELG

    Their new drug may work but it will take years to ramp up...and it is more toxic than what is already out there. It is not a first line drug, for that there is Revlimid and Velcade which are proven. When Revlimid came to the market the analysts didn't have a clue. At the time, if you were diagnosed with MM you were dead in 2-3 years max., and sales were predicated on that. But surprise, people are still on Revlimid after 6+ years until they relapse, after which, they add/switch to Velcade and or another drug. Point is that it will take many years before a MM patient will be in a position to even try Kyprolis and during this time, in all likelihood, other drugs will be developed with less side affects.

    As for a buyout at the current price, I would be reluctant to bet on it.

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    • [there is Revlimid and Velcade which are proven.]

      Proven to be unreliable, so much so that the second line is called 80% of the time.


      [When Revlimid came to the market the analysts didn't have a clue. At the time, if you were diagnosed with MM you were dead in 2-3 years max., and sales were predicated on that. But surprise, people are still on Revlimid after 6+ years until they relapse, after which, they add/switch to Velcade and or another drug.]

      Read closely what you just wrote. Let me ask you this, what % of starters are still on Revlimid 6 years later? Then, what is the "another drug"?

      [Point is that it will take many years before a MM patient will be in a position to even try Kyprolis and during this time, in all likelihood, other drugs will be developed with less side affects.]

      They will be able to fast track around an approved drug?

      [As for a buyout at the current price, I would be reluctant to bet on it.]

      Such courage, such knowledge, such a dpsht.

 
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