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Xinyuan Real Estate Co., Ltd. Message Board

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  • growth.value growth.value Sep 23, 2012 9:34 PM Flag

    China Property Prices Rise for Third Straight Month. this is the head line of a wall street journal article

    You miss two things. One, you did not think as a top Chinese politician. Property price increase has jeopardized the stability of China and thus undermine the government's control. The government would rather to have modest growth but less property inflation. Still, the government has other means at its disposal to stimulate the economy. The massive infrastructure spending is one of them, but it benefits developers little. On the other hand, monetary stimulus, which benefits developers most, ended after two consecutive month over month home price increase.

    Second, you fail to realize the market does not want to price Chinese property stocks based on their near-term performance. This happens a lot when market feels an industry will face a fundamental change in the future. A price increase may boost a few property stocks's earnings in the near quarters. At the end, the market will ignore such information after the earning day madness.

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    • you fail to realize the market has been ignoring china property stocks even when they were improving over the long term, that will not be new to prople like you. look at xin now paying a quarterly dividend and doing buybacks and in a bad china real estate market through the rate raise the huge down payments needed to buy a house in china due to government not to mention tightening by the government, but still improving as a company albeit slower that had they not had these headwinds.

      you think property increases will destabilize china? i put to you not as bad as a housing crash and bad debt on the books, not to mention what that will do to other aspects of the economy do you really think the government wants housing to start a deflationary cycle? no. they will allow a modest rise but it will be slower than before. btw the pundits have been calling for a property crash now for over 2 years and well, I'll worry when your all screaming buy buy buy just like when mari bartimaloo (spelling cnbc ancor) was stating on tv gold was a barbaric relic at around 300 an ounce

      PS. governments have control in all countries including ours. Also do you think operation twist on twist will lead to inflation in the us or debasement of our currency? if so what would the yuan do in comparison? THINK in eps.

 
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