Who's gonna win the election? Let's have a prediction contest. Everyone's invited to play.
Don't let this stop you, but it's kind of weenie just to make percentage predictions, so let's make our picks using electoral college votes. Don't worry, it's easier to make EC predictions than it sounds.
How to Make Electoral College Picks:
1. The Easy Way. Just divide up the 538 electoral college votes towards your guy. 269 to 269 would be a tie (it's crazy, but possible), so 270's the magic winning number. Both guys will definitely get more than 200 EC votes, so start with that as a floor. The bigger you think your guy will win, the more EC votes above 270 you should give him.
I think it's gonna be a squeeker, so my pick is Obama 281, Romney 257.
2. The Fun Way. Goto "RealClearPolitics" site. On the first page, in the column down the right side, inside the box of numbers, click "RCP Electoral Map". When the map comes up, just below where they have Alaska, click "Create Your Own Map".
Then a map comes up with the non battleground states already colored in, and you can pick the battleground states however you want. RCP also has more polls available than you can shake a stick at, in case you want some help.
bump, to get more players.
@TT, good to see you onboard! By my count, we've got ourselves a player's tie: 2 picking Romney to win, 2 picking Obama.
@jeff, good point about the 269 to 269 tie possibility. Barring the near impossibility of a "faithless elector," Governor Romney will win any 269 to 269 tie, when it's broken by the House of Representatives on a 'one vote per state' basis.
Jeff, why no contest entry yet?
In the end, you're right Horace. The system itself is on a unsustainable course that nobody can fix. The system just keeps growing, bigger and bigger. That's why Obama won the Town Hall debate, the topics (mostly) were in regards to what you will "give me". Of course Obama will win these topics. That's what they have to run on, no matter what party. Which candidate will better your life.
This Democrat could never get elected today if he uttered these words while campaigning.
"Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country".
Romney 282- Obama 256
I think what is just as interesting is the reaction AFTER the election. If Romney wins, better lock the doors and protect the women. Obama's thugs will be out. If Obama wins....look out beeeeeloooowwwww. This economy cannot stand another four years of this ineptitude.
Right unemployment falls from 10% to 7.8%. Real bad economy. How about the last 12 years?? You guys act like Obama took over from Clinton. Your guy Georgie made the mess. Obama is just trying to clean it up.