Probability - Intermediate trend bearish, Unsustainable uptrend, may turn sideways.
Probability - 1 Day Price change extreme up, may pause/reverse
Probability - Extreme Overbought, odds definitely favor short trades.
Confirmation - Extreme 3 day accumulation, but when the stock is overbought this is considered bearish.
Probability - Strong Up trend (1 month), not sustainable, occurs only 15% of the time, expect trend to turn sideways or lower.
Confirmation - at resistance