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United Parcel Service, Inc. Message Board

  • drmagoo54 drmagoo54 Jan 5, 2014 11:58 AM Flag

    blowout earnings

    guaranteed blowout earnings...problem is guidance going forward could be lowered...buying opportunity? maybe....any refunds offered by UPS for delays during christmas will show up in next quarters' earnings.....weather always a concern going into this quarter...Louisville is the key...if Kentucky comes to a stand still because of weather it will cost the company a bundle...but sometimes one time events are dismissed by investors...and expect a bump in dividends....good luck

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    • Certainly agree on the blow-out earnings. Keep in mind too that the comps are based upon a Sandy impacted season a year ago. The discussion with Amazon I think will be more civil than folks might think. I'm sure the executives at Amazon realize they were extremely self-serving this peak season and perhaps for P/R purposes made UPS into the bad guy. but upon further reflection and considering their options I think the solution will be fair and equitable. Weather is clearly an ongoing problem as it appears this is destined to be a tougher than usual winter season. I'm wondering if we've decided to use driver helpers a bit longer than usual or if the Teamsters contract even allows it. With the expected huge numbers of returns and use of gift cards via on-line shipping (exacerbated by the weather issues) I suspect our January volume should still be off the charts. In any event, I'm looking for either an $.07 or $.08 increase in the dividend and some self-control over share buy-backs at elevated share prices. I'd much rather we go for more infrastructure, NG stuff and dividend upping.

 
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