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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

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  • roym717 roym717 Mar 19, 2012 4:05 PM Flag

    OT - ETP

    I like it Doc. I think KMP will be above $85 by April Opex.
    KMP's divvy date is 4/27 and will probably hot $88 at exdiv.


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    • Hey Roy,

      I couldn't resist KMP's oversold position (thanks to Ben for the heads-up) last week, and took a position on Friday in June 80s at 3.90 (net 83.90).

      I have reviewed 9 quarters of KMP's historic price performance at this point (X-d. minus 39 calendar days) in its distribution runs, and show the historic range to the high prior to the estimated X-d (approx. 4/28) to be 86.92 to 94.25, with an average of 89.69. This data is strictly based on the unit price movement, and does not take into account specific macro events or company specific events that may have influenced the data from specific distribution runs. However, 9 quarters of data should give us a more comprehensive picture, smoothing over anomalies. Good luck.


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