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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

  • xionrevolutions xionrevolutions Jan 12, 2013 1:27 PM Flag

    OT: My Options Guerrilla Tactics ... for the Debt Ceiling Crisis 2013

    I have decided to upgrade my options strategies. It seems to me that these politicians like to create these "crisises" for their own personal agrandizement and they like to feel "important". We have a debt ceiling crisis coming up and I have made my own countermeasures and counter-strategies to benefit from the incompetence of these politicians.

    1. I will avoid AGNC and only go into a Long Call position until "one day" before the Div Announcement (after the new pattern gets established with the $0.80 to $1 new dividend).
    2. I will go into AGNC with deep in the money, longer term calls, during the worst part of the Flash Crash if I see one happen (a drop $28.50 and below).
    3. If I see BMY drop to $31.75 or below, I will respond with buying BMY deep in the money $28-29 long term calls.
    4. If I see EPD drop to $49 and below, I will respond with buying EPD deep in the money $46-47 long term calls.
    5. If I see LINE or LNCO drop below $35.50, I will respond with buying LINE or LNCO deep in the money Calls like the $33-34 calls.

    Let me know what you guys think?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • I like it! I might get in slightly higher on AGNC and BMY. I'm mostly cash at the moment, except for a few BMY Feb 34 Puts .

      The political jerks will get a lot of air time regarding the debt ceiling, but cave in the end without achieving much. If they were to dig in and stay the course, there would be a huge market reaction, but I don't think they have the will.

    • "1. I will avoid AGNC and only go into a Long Call position until "one day" before the Div Announcement (after the new pattern gets established with the $0.80 to $1 new dividend)."

      We have a Ben in the making here.

      The AGNC tentative strategy will probably be adjusted after the earnings. Earnings will be a hint as to what they have made in distributive income. I was holding some march 30's but liquidated this week along with most everything else. Bought at 1.95 sold at 1.53. I have a soft heart for the pros who take my money. Until three weeks ago I felt like I was running a charity for options writers.

      I have some one week strangles in with BAC, WFC, and Ford. If the vix revives, they could be profitable both ways. Only enough to make the loan payment. Strangle moves expire worthless, like they did this week, if investors don't know what to do and markets stay flat..

    • bowhunterron Jan 12, 2013 5:24 PM Flag

      I like it. It sounds a lot like my strategy. Keeping all calls and puts as close to a delta of 1 as practical.

    • The dawn of a new "Era". Congrats!

      You need add one more:

      #6) I will trade only a maximum of 25%(for you only...5% for everyone steps...;-)), of my trading capital on any one of these aforementioned trades.

      Good Luck!!


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