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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

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  • reits_r_us reits_r_us Jan 15, 2013 11:47 AM Flag


    AGNC historically has two major lows between EX dates. The first occurs 11-15 post EX, the second 30-33 days post EX. The 14th to the 18th(this week) is the first low. Historically it is the best time to accumulate.


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    • I dunno Doc- I see where youre coming from on the opex perspective, but it doesnt seem to be working that way this quarter...

      The low was immediately after the EX and then the stock popped after the 'resolution' to the fiscal cliff (as though AGNC div's would have been affected by tax hikes...).

      So if anything- this week (14-18) is marking a high, not a low, and the low came after the Ex date. Although with this lethargic churn they might as well suspend trading for a couple of days until the HFTs are ready to get back to work here...

      Date-wise, it seems to me this quarter is a big deal as the earnings in 3 weeks will essentially confirm if Kain can keep the dividend or not, and putting that to rest would eliminate any speculation that 'justified' this drop in the first place

      Sentiment: Buy

    • Doc ...

      Any thoughts on the debt ceiling, and how that might affect AGNC/MTGE?

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