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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

  • alw59saw alw59saw May 13, 2013 4:47 PM Flag

    BATESAT in Play Again

    With the drop in share price of the last two trading days, BATESAT is in play again. Get out that strategy chart from the closet.

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    • I agree with below - I think BATESAT is about a dollar too high right now (BATNSATO?). I'm not calling a floor, but when I think about the present book value and the REIT sector's capitalization (+3% to +8% over BV for many REITs) there is a point at which it will be too low.

      Conjecture that BV falls next quarter is premature, but I will say that if THIS is not near the bottom, then the bottom will probably be right at the EX-DIV in June (paid out in July) if the pattern holds.

      AGNC will shake off company weakness with two things. First they need a sustained dividend, and second they need a quarter that is at least average.



    • yourbestfriendintheworld yourbestfriendintheworld May 13, 2013 6:00 PM Flag

      Won't work. Needs to be above BV (currently 28.93, only a dime below SP). No SPOs here. Need a new theory until a profitable buffer develops.

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