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American Capital Agency Corp. Message Board

  • investorindividual investorindividual Jun 21, 2013 4:30 PM Flag

    Forget taper, QE4 more likely in 6 months.

    Feds are are being too optimistic about the unemployment rate. Economy still sucks. Businesses not yet ready to hire. Health plans, education, utilities, cell phones, cable all getting more expensive. not much improvement in housing or retail. 75% people out there can't get loans. Worst of all household incomes are shrinking. Unemployment more likely to go up by the end of the year.
    MREITs will rise again and keep paying dividends.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • To add to "investorindiviudal"s concerns, inflation rate has been falling the past 12 months elevating concerns over deflation, something the Fed absolutely wishes to avoid since it will have no tools to combat it. Second, even the Fed has revised downward their own GDP forecasts and those made by international organizations are lower still. Consider that our Fed has a very poor track record of divining the future. While it is more likely the Recovery continues we may see that it occurs at a much slower pace than the Fed advertises.

      Sentiment: Hold

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