doesn't even matter what they earned or what they say, stock has discounted all positives with a 20% move in the last month.
sell it hard!!
And you are full of it BEFORE and AFTER earnings. Go away.
Check the volume; over 180 $10 Oct 16th Puts...
Bought 160 $10 puts @ 2 cents.
I think it will be an $8 stock by Oct 16th.
I dont blame you Ravig...... you are indian. perhaps you should go buy some SAY(satyam) and stop terrorizing American companies with your idiotic bets.
Thats a bold statement to make. Are you insinuating that AA was not supposed to recover from the lows with the general market?
has it outperformed the dow yes
http://www.google.com/finance?q=aa
but i wont necessarily say that this stock is overextended.
20% move is off of a price level discounting a double dip recession. Lots of reasons to like AA and lots of reasons to dislike it too but the stock is not expensive here. IF the US and/or global economy goes down in the first quarter next year, all bets are off, but if you don't think so this will be higher by years end. Under 10 reflects a big time miss and that is entirely unlikely with firming of pricing in the last month.
Sadly with that statement you must consider the weakness of the USD, which negates all gains in aluminum.
We will see what happens to-morrow; do not have to wait long to see if you're right or wrong.
If you know it so well, then why dont you short? Maybe it will be 15 tomorrow morning !