Dude, this is probably why you're losing money in the markets.
The market is the ultimate arbiter. There is no "lying" there onl "is" or "is not"
And the market has spoken. The earnings from AA does not justify the current price.
A bit of advice going forward: Anytime the market is selling off, and the stock you own has gone up 15% in 2 weeks, and oil prices are very high, and it's going into earnings season, sell. Because in the current market environment, nothing less then a spectacular beat could've pushed this thing higher.