8/21/00 FORBES ASAP See Page 97 "Gilder on Optics.
George Gilder states, "Cisco is mired in legacy electronics and is rooted in the past. Rather than move ahead toward an all-optical future, it plunged into the reactionary SONET technology of the telcos. None of the equipment makers are poised to capture this new market."
Last quote in article by Gilder, "The Internet is best imagined as a virtual point of light into which will be distilled all the commerce and culture of the race."
"How does the increase in bandwidth due to fiber optics compare to Moores Law? Gilder: "Since the commercial advent of wave division multiplexing in 1996, bandwidth has been increasing at least four times as fast as Moore's Law, if not faster, and promises to continue to do so for at least the next several years."
He says that your circuit switched phone line wantonly wastes bandwidth. And in essence, we will have bandwidth to waste in the new optical technology, (just like the circuit switched model of the telco's today.)
Gilder: "The optical networking brings fabulous bandwidth abundance in an age of interactive video. Once again the wanton waste of circuit connections - this time, based on millions of wave length channels called lambdas - will prevail.
IMHO: When one technology replaces another, it is called "destructive technology." Optical switching fits the bill. It will replace current technology and will be the next leap. It has too with the net doubling every 100 days.
IMHO, once a culture commits totally to this pipeline, i.e., recording it's history, I wonder if there will be an archeological record to dig up by future generations?