Vail Resorts Inc. Message Board
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MTN fair value $30
Put an aggressive 20x multiple on $1.50 of normalized earnings and you get a $30 stock. Huge downside from here. With taxes going up next year, fewer people will be spending on ski vacations.
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Don't know why this is running up today, but the fair value remains $30.
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Company reduced their aggressive guidance. Beats me why anyone was paying $50+ for this stock.
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earnings coming out dec 4th for qtr ending oct. 31st----cant be good----and the guidance has to be adjusted downward due to no snow and tough economy, and travelers holding back...
what do others think?- 1 Reply to jim1518
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stock was up last quarter due to increase in passes sold by 17 percent.....People who by season passes by season passes only this year they bought earlier....Stock needs to fall!!!!
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I could not agree more, what is it with this stock? Anyone that buys this stock needs their head examined, should be trading with a 15x multiple instead it trades at 136x 2012 and 55x 2013 estimates. This stock is a screaming short.
Sentiment: Strong Sell
- 1 Reply to corusofboos
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Add to that fact it hasn't snowed but once so far this year in Vail. I live in
Denver ..Its crazy 40 stock tops. I bought the 55 dec puts today at a buck.
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