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Nuance Communications (NUAN) Message Board

  • luckyone581 luckyone581 Apr 2, 2009 1:52 PM Flag

    NUAN Short

    I shorted NUAN today at 12.23. Stop loss is at 12.82 and objective is 9.08 - 9.42, with an outside possibility of 8.25-8.51.

    I am risking $59 to pick up $281 at least. It is a better than a 4-1 risk/reward ratio.

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    • noonan0... I thought you were done with Yahoo? You managed to stay away for a whole day.... fucking moron!:

    • In the post above you said you shorted at $43.57. That makes my math right except that it was 200 shares so your loss was double what I stated. How can anyone trust your numbers when they are constantly changing/inaccurate?

    • Lucky,

      If you put your stop at $12.60, you would be risking $37 to make $281, which would be a 7.59 to 1 deal - a much better deal than your 4 to 1 - IMHO.

      The rub - how likely are you to be stopped out on these "deals"?


      Think about it - Tomcat

      OBTW, Have you bothered to check out the text to speech technology by Nuance, used now on the Amazon Kindle?

    • Lucky,

      It looks like nuan just won't break lower, maybe because of good earnings coming out

    • First of all Noonan, you need to brush up on mathematics. I got in at an average price of 45.57 and got out at 47.33. That is only $176 per 100 shares. I lost $352 per 100 shares plus commissions because I did the trade twice.

      Second of all, the average I mentioned is an average. That includes losses of $1 as well as losses of $300, per 100 shares. In addition, the risks I take are based on a 4-1 risk/reward ratio which means that if I think the stock can make a $10 move ($1000 profit), I will risk up to $250 dollars. For your thick mind that also means that if I think a stock will only give me a $100 profit per 100 shares, I will only risk $25.

      The one thing you also don't seem to take into consideration is that I have been opening my mouth "officially" in my newsletter, and that is always "before the fact". In addition, the results I mention can be confirmed by the fact that other members have done the same trades and made the same amount of money (fact).

      So Noonan, go jump in a lake.

      It is you that is being

    • You really should think about what you write before you write it. It shows how little you use your brain.

      I don't "predict" anything. What I do is see probabilities based on past actions.

      Example: You are in a ballgame and the score is tied 1-1. It is the 9nth inning and a strong left hander is up to bat. The manager of the other team puts in a relief pitcher that has a so-so record with left handed pitchers and has faced this particular batter 10 times and the batter has hit .600 (6 out of 10 times) against this pitcher.

      I look at the odds and I say, the probabilities are that my batter will be able to hit this pitcher and I put my money on it.

      This is not a prediction but a probability assessement. The batter has struck out 4 times before against this pitcher and it could happen again. Nonetheless, if I do the same bet 10 times in a row, I will likely come out a winner more often than not.

      If you cannot understand the value of such an assessment, then you are blind. This is what any gamble is based upon.......probabilities. This is why playing the lottery is stupid but if you are a gambler and you know all the stats of the players in a baseball game, you have a good chance of winning.

      I hope this explanation wasn't too complicated for you.

    • and you are an idiot. Case closed.

    • There you go again.

    • You obviously have no idea what the hell you are talking about.

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