I just don't understand Scott's article:
On what basis does he say that Lorc has only a 30% chance of approval. At least in the article he doesn't provide any evidence to back his claim against approval.
I am not sure what qualifies any of these so called "journalists" to comment on the possibility of approval. None of them are doctors or have any kind of science backgound for that matter. Its alarming to know that business entities like seeking alpha and street.com are even allowed to operate and manipulate the pps. What's the world coming too.
Honestly, I have found more intelligent and scientific write-up on these message boards then any of the published articles, and that is saying a lot.
Matuson is inept and is protecting AF exactly because he denies protecting him. A big WIMP in my opinion. I give him no more than a 30% chance of getting laid this month.
There is a topic on this board entitled:
"Guys - This is a NO BRAINER - and potential life changer."
The risk/reward ratios are very interesting and reasonable. It may set perspective for those who are worried about the ADCOM outcome.
Well SA is in the same boat with the rest of the game makers. I responded with the same questions and not one got posted. This is all a scam set up by n bunch of numerous crooks playing the media hype on all these. Obvivously thye are all in cahots with one another and have figured it out that none of these will in the end get approval. So they are cashing in all fronts to put huge dollars in the bank.
Just 20 days ago - this is just pandering to Adam F's viewpoint so he doesn't lose favor.
answer to... "On what basis does he say that Lorc has only a 30% chance of approval?"
uh... the constitution. He needs no basis if he is just stating his own personal opinion. When exactly did we lose that right?
His 30% chance could be compared to # of yes votes. If that's the case, then in 2010 ARNA had 35% yes votes which is better than his 30% chance. Based on that assumption it would lead me to believe the new data (rat studies, BLOOM-DM) was all done to make ARNA's chances worse.
This guy doesn't have a clue! I'm holding my stance at 80% chance of approval, but who knows what the PPS will be post-adcom.
I understand that everybody has the right to voice their opinion. But every opinion is based on certain beliefs/expectations/facts and it would be important to put forth those explanations if you want to be taken seriously. Just because you can voice your opinion doesn't mean he should pull a number out of his hat