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Arena Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

  • johnnyola_1 johnnyola_1 Aug 17, 2012 10:58 PM Flag

    ARNA will net a buck a day per patient

    minimum. (2 pills a day.) The cost per pill is included. 75 million obese americans. Quite a few of these are diabetic or pre-diabetic. Doctors will use Belviq off label in a sense, feeling good about hitting two birds with one stone.

    IN three years, ARNA will be used daily by 3 to 5 million people in U.S. alone.....very conservative prediction. Let's use the 5 million figure, equals ARNA Nets 5 million per day. This is almost 2 billion in revenues to arna. net revenues. Incredible share price using a 35 to 1 PE ratio.......what is that, like 350 bucks per share. FOR U.S. PATIENTS ONLY.

    THINK ABOUT IT. SCARRY UPSIDE. The opportunity of a lifetime.

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    • I truly believe in this Novel drug!

      I have for the past 2 1/2 years, incredible sales potential ($/numbers)!!

      I am 40k Arena shares long and waiting for EU, DEA and finally finally take out all these Shorted HF and WS!!

      It will come and I can not wait.

      Novel 1

    • Nice,
      It would be a nice world if 'net revinues' actuallty equaled profit. I would say $100/share price might happen... just a WAG. (imho).

      • 1 Reply to persistdb1
      • yes I agree, but still. If the company is generating U.S. only revenues of almost 2 billion per year, how much of that can a pure R and D company burn? not much. What is the historical burn rate. Can't be anywhere close to 100 million per year, so if you want, nick my estimate by 100 million even.....and deduct another 100 million for postage.........we still are waaaay over 1.5 billion PER YEAR IN net we are at 7 bucks a share in net income.......

        for U.S. sales only.........

        downside: none
        upside scenario number 1: World Sales will triple U.S. we are at 500 plus shareprice in 3 years

        upside scenario number 2: the pills become a global and u.s. sensation to fight the war on fat, the OBESITY PANDEMIC....which is what the WHO, the World Health Organization labels it. HERE: 1500 is the share price. think about it. 3.5 years.

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