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Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobra Message Board

  • bigman_herb bigman_herb Dec 3, 2012 7:37 PM Flag

    less than 25% of book value, still expecting $1 profit

    This stock is dirt cheap and could double or triple fast.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • why such the heavy beat down here and the dim out look going forward?

      • 1 Reply to litleelvis
      • You kind of have to know who the sellers were to answer that.

        But in general there was unfavorable legislation on the price they receive on electricity. Also you have Brazilian currency risk (which I see as a favorable thing only based on purchasing power parity).

        The special thing about EBR is that it's majority owned by the Brazilian Govt and could be (would be) nationalized under certain extreme consequences such as a revolution or war, or even if the government just decided to do it.

        That's the risk I see, but this company isn't going anywhere it's the biggest utility in SA and is trading at a quarter book value. In general I think a lot of people tend to overestimate foreign risk and I like Brazil, but it is almost ominous that EBR could be trading this low. I'm long and hoping for a return to real value.

        Sentiment: Hold

1.91+0.06(+3.24%)Feb 27 4:05 PMEST

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