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SIGA Technologies, Inc. Message Board

  • sigakingone sigakingone Feb 13, 2014 10:23 AM Flag

    Kok-Oi village of Dzhumgal district announces quarantine due to outbreak of smallpox among livestock

     

    Kok-Oi village of Dzhumgal district announces quarantine due to outbreak of smallpox among livestock
    13/02-2014 09:23, Bishkek – 24.kg news agency , by Eleonora SAGYNDYK kyzy
    A quarantine was declared in Kok-Oi village of Dzhumgal district due to outbreak of smallpox among livestock. The head of the district Adylgazy Isagulov informed 24.kg news agency.

    According to him, the quarantine was introduced since February 10, 2014. Regional veterinary services started to vaccinate animals. For today about 400 heads of small cattle were vaccinated. Within the quarantine markets for animals’ sale are closed and their import and export is prohibited too.

    Note that smallpox is a particularly dangerous virus disease of mammals and birds characterized by high mortality rate. However sick animals doesn’t represent a direct threat for people.

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • Note the claims.
      " about 400 heads of small cattle were vaccinated"
      " smallpox is a particularly dangerous virus disease of mammals and birds"

      From these claims we can infer that the threat is not the smallpox virus because the smallpox does not have an animal vector. If it did then eradication via vaccination would not have worked. Smallpox only naturally infects humans and does not exist in a carrier state.

      If this headline were true not only would there have been 400 small cattle vaccinated but also the WHO would have reported a world wide threat. And the price of SIGA stock would have shot up an order of magnitude within minutes of that report.

      The most likely explanation is that the original story which was not written in English was mistranslated as to the virus at issue.

    • that's it I'm sticking to bark & twigs around the pond

 
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