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Cumulus Media Inc. (CMLS) Message Board

  • mackt_ruck mackt_ruck Sep 19, 2009 6:47 PM Flag

    The answer to why this stock is going way higher

    Advertising, advertising, advertising .... This industry is coming out of the worst advertising slow down since the great depression. Rupart Murdoch says it's getting better everyday. The broadcaster revenue is all advertising. Toyota and gm, and ford are spending record amounts in the 4th , the recession is over acording the fed. All the additional revenue is to the bottom line

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    • Newspaper stocks jump on ad trends

      Newspaper stocks jump after report of improving advertising trends

      By Peter Svensson, Associated Press Writer
      On Wednesday September 16, 2009, 5:33 pm EDT

      NEW YORK (AP) -- The stocks of newspaper companies surged Wednesday on optimism that deep cost cuts will let them benefit from the economic recovery, even as advertising and readers move online.

      A report from market research firm TNS Media Intelligence said the rate of decline in overall advertising spending held steady from the first quarter to the second.

      Also, early data for the current quarter "hint at possible improvements for some media" because they will be comparing against steep declines a year ago, according to Jon Swallen, senior vice president of research at TNS.

      Shares of The New York Times Co. rose 94 cents, or 12 percent, to close at $8.82.

      The stock of Gannett Co., publisher of USA Today and other papers, rose 93 cents, or 10 percent, to $9.99.

      The E.W. Scripps Co., publisher of 13 daily newspapers, rose 88 cents, or 11 percent, to $8.83.

      The McClatchy Co., publisher of The Miami Herald and 29 other daily newspapers, rose 5 cents, or 1.9 percent, to $2.66.

      The report from TNS bolsters positive signals for the industry recently. On Tuesday, News Corp. CEO Rupert Murdoch said advertising spending has improved from four months ago, echoing comments from CBS Corp. CEO Les Moonves earlier. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Tuesday that the recession was likely over -- which is especially good news for companies like publishers, who are sensitive to business cycles.

      "There are some hints that things are getting better," said Dave Novosel, media analyst at Gimme Credit. He cautioned against making too much of a rise in newspaper stocks since several are so low that any rise at all appears outsized.

      Longer term, Novosel said newspapers are not likely to see the level of advertising spending they enjoyed four to five years ago.

      "They do have the same problems, in terms of advertising," he said. "I don't think it is coming back because people are finding alternative forms of advertising."

      Swallen at TNS also put the advertising report in perspective.

      "While it's tempting to interpret this as a positive indicator that things aren't getting worse, the fact remains that the market has been steadily tracking at around 14 percent declines for several consecutive months and this represents billions of lost revenue," he said.

      Analyst Barry Lucas at Gabelli & Co. noted that newspaper stocks have posted strong increases for months. Scripps' stock is up tenfold since April, and Gannett up fourfold. Some of the companies have found surer footing as they've been able to refinance their debt, he said.

      Ken Doctor, a newspaper analyst at Outsell Inc., said deep cost cuts, on the order of 25 percent to 40 percent, have positioned newspapers to start posting profits again once the economy improves, despite the flight of readers and advertisers to the Internet.

      "They do not have significant plans to rehire," Doctor said. "So if they can be marginally profitable, as they were on an operating basis in the second quarter, then with this recovery, the profit picture should improve significantly from the fourth quarter on."

      AP Business Writer Vinnee Tong contributed to this report.

 
CMLS
4.11-0.13(-3.07%)Dec 24 1:00 PMEST

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