This market is mis-digesting the news, and does not justify the pop. Latin and South America will mean significant acquisition costs, lower margins and lower overall net, not higher. There are a variety of products that are coming to latin and South America that make significant OTT content available for free, much like clicker, Zinc.TV and Boxee, that are better suited to the poorer demo of the region.
This tells us as well, that NFLX is reaching a plateau in new users in the US and has to branch out in order to keep the top line growing, which we believe will be at the expense of the bottom line.
Two of the key issues in these markets are the lack of traditional channels for customer acquisition and limited end user devices. Where game consoles and smart TV's have enabled growth in the US, these devices, have very low penetration amongst the populace. Streaming old US movies may add a few million to the NFLX roles over the next year or two, but at what cost? A major one, as no outside market is as efficient as the US for marketing and acquisition of subscribers.
Yes, this is a short squeeze, and yes it may continue for a few days, but when it ends, the larger holders and major institutions will have unloaded boat-loads of short coverers and late longs, and there will be few if any buyers left.
The hyping up of unrealistic international expansion to complement their no margin domestic business is the last act for this highly questionable company. Conveniently they slip this news right before quarterly earnings are due in the next two weeks. From all indications their earnings will indicate rough waters ahead, to put it mildly, and their only raft to keep this going is to produce more fantasy growth.
Just a reminder as per their last quarter financials this company has 650 million dollars in content obligations due within the next 9-12 months. This stock continues to trade in fantasy land as long as the Wall Street cartels hold it up, only time will tell when they abandon.
NFLX does have a 650 million dollar bill to pay which comes at a critical time when their international debts in Canada are much higher-closer to 70 million- while their subscriptions numbers are lower than anticipated. Expanding even further to Latin America is highly risky and comes at a time when content costs in the U.S. are multiplying ten fold. This is not very smart if you ask me. Hastings is running NFLX like a Riverboat casino. Eventually, he will be held accountable for his reckless business dealings.
BIGGEST SCAM FRAUD =DAY LIGHT ROBBERY
again Biggest Fraud scam this morning:
again the Scam News is crystal Clear: Same old scam news: no launch date but a scam repeat and Stock is pushed $9+ with 72K volume?
2K Volume= stock up $4
4k Volume stock up +$6
70K Volume stock up $9+
Volume 1m+ STOCK prcie no change?
Volume 2M+ stock price held and no change?
BIGGEST PRICE/VOLUME MANIPULATION SCAM WITH PURE FRAUD SPIN SCAM NEWS FROM MF CRIMINAL THUG REED HASTINGS SCAM GANG
SONY content pulled Day 20 and Still Scam pumped with scam Face book director news spins and Today again scam news right before scam earnings: SCAM STREAMING LAUNCH in Latin America?
Canada content is 10% of USA content and what will be Latin America?
The scam will loose $70M+ in 2nd half and Balance sheet raped with an Empty Shell scam and $1.6B+ Off balance Sheet.
WHAT A SCAM?
ROBERT KHUZAMI & SCHAPIRO NEED TO BE ARRESTED ASAP ALONG WITH JOE OZAG@FINRA
THE LOOT SCAM BY CRIMINAL MF THUG REED HASTINGS SCAM GANG
HERE IS REAL LOOT THAT CONTINUES
Rebert Khuzami=Proven Criminal and Fraud Street Criminal Financial Terrorists Puppet
Bloomberg noted on Monday:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s internal watchdog is reviewing an allegation that Robert Khuzami, the agency’s top enforcement official, gave preferential treatment to Citigroup Inc. executives in the agency’s $75 million settlement with the firm in July.
Inspector General H. David Kotz opened the probe after a request from U.S. Senator Charles Grassley, an Iowa Republican, who forwarded an unsigned letter making the allegation. Khuzami told his staff to soften claims against two executives after conferring with a lawyer representing the bank, according to the letter….
According to the letter, the SEC’s staff was prepared to file fraud claims against both individuals. Khuzami ordered his staff to drop the claims after holding a “secret conversation, without telling the staff, with a prominent defense lawyer who is a good friend” of his and “who was counsel for the company, not the individuals affected,” according to a copy of the letter reviewed by Bloomberg News.
((((((((((red alert in usa)))))))=biggest fraud since enron/worldcom/dotcom=netflix(nflx)
what is inspector general scam @sec?
netflix: negative book value /balance sheet raped/debt slapped/off balance sheet cook book scam in billions
and what does this criminal mf reed hastings spin for scam pump loot : expanding hype streaming news recycled spin in 43 countries with what?
no financial details and still not launch date
just scam news spin to short squeeze and loot billions in a day
all you criminal watch dogs are in bed with home grown financial al qaeda terrorists
what about sony content pulled day 21 but no comments?
what about disney content future cost?
mf criminal thug reed hastings and fraud street criminal partners spin all fraud research reports with fraud target price and scam spin future earnings numbers............
criminal thug reed hastings focused on timing spin scams for the loot........
BIGGEST SCAM SINCE ENRON/WORLDCOM/DOTCOM
DOWNGRADED BUT THE SCAM IS UP $18+ AND HOW/WHY?
PRICE/VOLUME MANIPULATION SCAM AND LOOT IN $10'S OF BILLIONS BY CRIMINAL MF THUG REED HASTINGS SCAM GANG
Dawson James Starts Netflix (NFLX) at Sell, Sees Rising Costs and
July 5, 2011 9:50 AM EDT
Dawson James initiates coverage on Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) with a Sell and $181 downside price target.
The firm highlights:
1): Average monthly revenue per paid subscriber fell 8.7% from $13.30 in FY2009 to $12.19 in FY2010
2) increased competition from Hulu, Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN), Facebook, and Google (Nasdaq: GOOG).
3. Acquiring streaming television content will likely continue to become more expensive
4). Inexpensive and unlimited bandwidth are key drivers of success for Netflix’s streaming service. Level 3’s (Nasdaq: LVLT) recent announcement of the acquisition of Global Crossing (Nasdaq: GLBC) represents a possible shift in pricing power towards the content delivery network providers.
Shares of Netflix are off the highs on the new Sell rating but are still sharply higher after announcing a deal today to expand in Latin America.
For more ratings news on Netflix click here and for the rating history of Netflixclick here
Inspector General Hotline:202-418-0473 or office: 202-418-0470 email: firstname.lastname@example.org
to me it looks like nflx has a smart person in charge of share buybacks. Smart in the sense that this person knows what to do in order to manipulate the market.
Any negative news immediately finds support in the stock. Shorts are repeatably being squeezed as the stock finds new highs. Insiders continue dumping while the company buys back stock. Meanwhile the only return you get from NFLX is through the greater fool theory...there is zero dividend and the only return you'll get is by selling your shares to a greater fool and that might as well be the company itself or the shorts that are forced to cover.
Some day this company is exposed for what it is. In the meantime it's the best money losing strategy for shorts. If you short, you might as well hedge with calls. Or just straddle.
International expansion in Canada has not been successful thus far (higher debts, bandwidth problems, lower subscriptions). Despite facing international losses in Canada, Netflix is not slowing down. Ambitious plans in Latin America will cost more money for NFLX and this comes at a critical time when NFLX is struggling to keep up with rising domestic content costs. Where does NFLX plan to get more money for international expansion in Latin America? I would not issue a credit card to NFLX.
i love how some of the analysts are now touting Canada as successful in their description of NFLX next steps. an orwellian cluster-f. i think now the question of content costs should/must be brought to the forefront.
Today's big news was timed perfectly to dispel the lower guidance warning that NFLX semi issued last Friday with PBS. The bigger story is NFLX's inability to pay for higher domestic content, rising competition with Hulu, and higher international debts.