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Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Message Board

  • once_on once_on Dec 4, 2012 11:12 AM Flag

    Another two ways to value NFLX

    Look at value of ongoing US operations vs. that of the international expansion which is driving the spending.
    1. Remove international operations: US standalone is values at $87.17 per share based on modest domestic growth (US 2013 EPS of $3.49 at P/E of 25)
    2. Total Neflix including international Losses: $57.69 (International loss of $1.18 at P/E of 25)

    Therefore international expansion (marketing) is removing about $30 from the 2013 analysis. If they could breakeven on international (or close/sell it) the company is worth $87+. If you beleive that International will generate positive cash flow at some point, then $87 should be the floor if US operations remain on the track they are.

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