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Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Message Board

  • singhlion2001 singhlion2001 Feb 20, 2013 11:37 PM Flag

    TILSON FRAUD SPINS FOR SCAM LOOT IN BED WITH CRIMINAL THUG REED HASTINGS

    Some of Tilson's thought on Netflix includes...

    ...Netflix can’t be valued in traditional ways such as a multiple of current earnings, cash flows, and/or book value, so I value it based on a probability-weighted scenario analysis. At one extreme, what are the chances that, over the next 5-10 years, Netflix becomes a globally dominant, highly profitable entertainment/media company – in which case, the stock could be a 10-bagger from here? At the other extreme, what are the odds that subscriber growth slows, content costs rise, cash flows turn sharply negative, and Netflix has to either raise capital or sell itself on distressed terms – in which case, the stock would collapse? And what is the likelihood of various in-between scenarios?

    Sentiment: Strong Sell

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