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Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Message Board

  • billsburgers billsburgers Dec 30, 2013 4:09 PM Flag

    Ugly price prediction of $140....

    We are maintaining our UNDERPERFORM rating and 12-month price target of $160. Our price target reflects a sum-of-the-parts that values domestic streaming at $130 per share, international streaming at $14 per share, and domestic DVD at $16 per share. We continue to believe that Netflix’s high valuation is somewhat unwarranted given the potential for slowing domestic growth as early as Q4:13, coupled with increasing content costs. Risks to the attainment of our share price target include: a sudden increase in subscriber growth, declining competition from other movie rental competitors, lower-than-expected costs for content, technology development and deployment, and improving macroeconomic factors.

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