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Investors Title Co. Message Board

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  • astral_tsar astral_tsar Sep 30, 2005 9:20 AM Flag

    v/c is

    I'm still waiting for a better price. When this housing boom unwinds, times will be grim throughout the real estate industry.

    When the last housing boom unwound in the early '90s, everybody in the industry started suing each other and filing insurance claims. ITIC's earnings fell 50% from 1990 to 1991. In 1992, the company lost money. The share price didn't get back up to liquid assets until 1995, four years after the boom started dying.

    Right now ITIC's liquid assets are $38.50 a share. Over the past 20 years, the share price rarely went 10% higher than liquid assets. But it frequently went 30% lower.

    Time will tell.

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    • astral tsar:

      I think you are exactly correct.

      I would add that I think that the bubble expansion is over starting right now. Rates are clearly going up. I also read that the lenders are tightening lending standards. I don't necessarily look for a sharp decline but the expansion based on easy credit ends right now. It was a big party, so I expect the sobering-up period will last a long time and do a lot of damage. I am avoiding any investments related to home financing and even pulling CD's out of savings and loans.

93.26-0.83(-0.88%)May 31 4:00 PMEDT