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Hussman Strategic Growth Message Board

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  • kzxc kzxc Oct 6, 2008 6:16 PM Flag

    VIX 50 Dow 10000

    This is not even close to the bottom. The volume was nothing today. May get a 700 point rally at some point but this marktet is down another 15% at least. This will be a deep and prolonged recession which the market has yet to price in. Hussie has cost us 3% so far. If the market goes up he needs to cash in to break us even and hedge back up.

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    • No one is talking about a FINAL bottom, but 10-20% rallies are likely all the way down just like 2001-2002. You can't tell me people aren't pricing in all the recession they need to for now after sustained unprecedented multi-hundred point declines, VIX at 58 (historic high) and general media hysteria. It will probably go lower later but for now a 1200 point rally seems in order based on something lame like a fed rate cut or really any fake excuse.

      • 1 Reply to wilkerson76201
      • Well the market has to go up quite a bit just to get us even now. Plus I do not trust Hussman to get us out at the right time. Everyone is expecting a rally at this point. This is precisely the reason I think it will not be as big as most expect. I would rather he sit tight and make a little bit as the market goes down like he was until he screwed it up. The time to go long is after capitulation. We are no where near that. You guys have frogotten just how much the market was overvalued. This market does not get cheap until the Dow is in the 7000s.

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