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Insmed Incorporated Message Board

  • fudfighter4 fudfighter4 Mar 10, 2013 12:34 AM Flag

    Share price predictions for the end of June?

    Market cap appreciation in the run-up to Insmed's 2009 Russell Index listing (high of day) -

    June 19 - $324,277,460
    June 12 - $272,544,480
    June 05 - $240,999,980

    May 29 - $223,335,060
    May 22 - $211,979,040
    May 15 - $172,863,860
    May 08 - $189,267,000
    May 01 - $189,267,000

    Apr 24 - $161,507,840
    Apr 17 - $151,413,600
    Apr 09 - $119,869,100
    Apr 03 - $117,345,540

    In 2009 the accumulation by the Russell Index tracker funds was also fuelled by expectation of favourable results from a Phase II study of iPlex as a therapy for MMD.

    The market cap is currently $196,564,000 (based on 31.4 million shares).

    This year the accumulation by the Russell Index tracker funds will also be fuelled by expectation of favourable results from a pivotal Phase III study - with unprecedented Phase II efficacy already in the bag - and, if all goes well, an all-clear from the final toxicity study already in the bag.

    No share price movement in the history of this stock offers the slightest clue to how high the share price will go on the strength of good news from both studies. We would be in completely unknown territory.

    In 2009 the market cap for HGSI went to about $5.6 billion on the strength of (misleadingly) encouraging Phase III results.

    And (as Insmed in 2009) HGSI owned only 50% of the opportunity. Whereas we own 100% of an opportunity which, barring an upset on the safety front, heralds the end of treating pulmonary conditions by tablet or injection.

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    • Insmed's valuation is currently around $212 million. Here are the minimum valuations in recent years for Russell 3000 qualification -

      2012 ... $101 million
      2011 ... $130 million
      2010 ... $112 million
      2009 ... $078 million
      2008 ... $167 million
      2007 ... $262 million
      2006 ... $218 million
      2005 ... $183 million
      2004 ... $176 million
      2003 ... $117 million
      2002 ... $128 million
      2001 ... $147 million
      2000 ... $178 million
      1999 ... $178 million
      1998 ... $222 million
      1997 ... $172 million
      1996 ... $162 million
      1995 ... $104 million

    • It will be unprecedented!

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

 
INSM
13.15-0.01(-0.08%)Aug 22 4:00 PMEDT

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