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Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Message Board

  • yourdeadmeat69 yourdeadmeat69 Sep 13, 2011 2:13 PM Flag

    LAST CHANCE FOR 80 CENT DIVVY

    IS TOMORROW THE 14TH OF SEPTEMBER.

    PLUS THIS STOCK IS AT A 35% DISCOUNT FROM ITS HIGH, YOU CAN'T GET BETTER THAN POTENTIAL CAPITAL APPRECIATION AND, A 20+% DIVVY.

    Whattya gonna do, give it to some annuity house, the whole principal for the privelege of getting 8 or 9% and never see your principal again?

    IVR IS WAY UP, AND SHORTS ARE GETTING THEIR ZONGERS SQUEEZED BIGTIME.

    LAST TIME IVR PAID 80 CENTS IT WAS $19.

    WORD UP.

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • brlundin@sbcglobal.net brlundin Sep 13, 2011 10:27 PM Flag

      The last 4 div. add up to $3.74, Dec. 2010= .97
      3/18/11= 1.00 6/15/11= .97 9/8/11= .80
      Maybe the money from the new stock is not invested yet and will make up the diff. to 3.88 = 1.11 for 12/11

      • 1 Reply to brlundin
      • Add the dividends up for the previous four quarters and compare what that looks like as a percent of the current stock price, or the price you bought it at, to get real comparators of yield on a percentage basis.

        Sell covered calls immediately against new position for a half buck for two to three months for additional "yield" if you can't stand the thought of selling.

        Why people in at $16.50 wouldn't sell at $19 baffles me, because you always can get in lower, or at least sell a $17.50 and $20.00 call option for downside protection or additional yield, adds to my befuddlement, but I gave up trying to understand the buy and mold crowd a decade ago in a market that stopped rewarding buy and hold in 1999.

    • In 4,000 shares at $16.30. GLTA (except shorts)

    • brlundin@sbcglobal.net brlundin Sep 13, 2011 7:31 PM Flag

      Who calculates the total div. for the year at 3.88 At that rate they are looking for 1.11 in Dec.

    • I figured you were answering the other guy, but had to make sure and, got a chance to revoice my opinion with a hair more detail.

      It's not genius investing, it's a huge selloff I didn't see in the other MREIT with quite as much downside when the others had leveled, so I figured, why not play it as if it were just a stock and bottom fish.

      If it had gone to 14, I'd have doubled down and sat on my hands, or sold $15 calls to make up the difference, and waited out one more dividend cycle before more calls sold, or cash out.

      I don't fall in love with any offering, and it seems to me that the MREIT debacle that is the current administration's answer is their answer to everything, destroy this private industry answer to investment in this beleagured sector, and nationalize mortgages, which is what the giveaway in Jan-March looks like to me.

      There will always be a place for REITS in the system, just have to be happy with 12-15% instead of 17-20%.

      And that's worst case conjecture on my part and some others. Fact is, the paper folks will actually refi unless they ignore loan to value completely, which is not out of the question in an administration that thinks this is all Monopoly money anyway--the amount under question is not the entire locus of loser mortgage holders.

      Behind all is the province of even more folks unemployed, and that problem is three or more years away in turning around, and won't respond to a few thousand in joesixpac's pocket next year if and when he can refi.

      That won't show a glimmer of turnaround to 2016.

      In the meantime, where can you go to get these kinds of yields?

      NOWHERE. 23% or 13%.

      That's my point, and it is lost in all this parsing and counting and connudling.

    • Yeah! I carefully researched and then bought IVR at $19 right before they announced a new offering. Bad timing! I would have rather been in at $16 but I still think it is a good investment at $19.

    • 20 would have been a very good price if the dividend was stable. But dividend payout appears to be in a downtrend, so stock price will likely follow the rate of dividend being reduced.

    • next time it pays 80 cents it will be 14$

 
IVR
15.64-0.04(-0.26%)Jan 27 4:04 PMEST

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