Can you imagine a scenario whereby the government announces that all 19 banks have been "tested" and all are fine and need no additional capital? I cannot.
Do you think that a government auditor - employed or consulting - will decide that BBT has been so well run and loaned so conservatively that it justifies a different set of standards than other banks? I doubt that.
What is the most likely way that this bank will get additional capital? Let's say 2 billion.
There is clear evidence that this bank has been well run. But the current price already reflects that. Its stock price has been cut a mere 50%. Go check the others.
Do you think the economy is getting better and that prosperous times for banks lie ahead in the next 6 months? I do not.
The possibility of a significant(20%) move down looms large.
I don't know what the charts say but that won't matter - up or down - if the implications of the stress test are significant