Not your opinion? On 11/7/11 you said: " Who should I trust? Organizations like IMF, World Bank and others with very questionable records or ECRI?"
Clearly, you placed more trust in ECRI than numerous other credible organizations even though the economic data for the United States showed slow and steady economic growth - 2.5% - while Lakshman Achuthan, ECRI's chief economist said that the United States had already entered into recession. Many economists attempted to check out ECRI assertion but their data is proprietary so it can't be analyzed.
As a footnote, Achuthan recently said his proprietary model says the United States is not in recession and is growing. Ha!