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Lululemon Athletica Inc. Message Board

  • johndoolittle46 johndoolittle46 May 13, 2013 11:41 AM Flag

    1682 days

    or less, this stock will be below 25/share. The countdown ensues.

    Why you ask? The market is all about money X Time. What is currently going on with Lulu is a mixture of fantasy land(pretending its growth rate and CURRENT margins are sustainable and warrant an 11.54B valuation AT THIS TIME coupled with what seems to be a very obvious attempt to short squeeze). But in 1682 days(or less) Lululemons growth will have slowed substantially below the current 30%(I'm shooting for single digit growth at best if not completely negative). Earnings will slow down or go down in the next 1682 days compared to current valuation and the p/e(already high at 43) will increase to more than 55/60 and the joke that is this valuation will be over. There is no way after the mask comes off in the next 1682 days that "people" will continue to hold as bigger money will just come in and bring it down.

    1682 days, countdown ensues.

    Z

    SortNewest  |  Oldest  |  Most Replied Expand all replies
    • Come on you really think earnings are going down??? Be more realistic if you're going to write. If you want to write slow down I'll accept that but not go down.

      • 1 Reply to tbomba1234
      • Accept that? You think I give a $$$$ what you accept? Whehter you like it or not, there are a lot of companies that grow fast and then....fizzle out. It has happened with plenty of companies before lululemon. Most people do not even know this brand exists! and it is at an 11.5B valuation.

        The arguement "but just look at how many people there are left to buy overpriced yoga pants in the world" doesn't fly because people don't have that kind of money. The ones who do have bought and are getting fed u with this sheer nonsense which IS HURTING THIS company(just read the online reviews by customers).

        This is a FAD company. The action the last two months is purely a short squeeze. Can it go higher? sure, anything is possible, its THIS HIGH ALREADY. But it is now at a point where it is hard to believe this company is as valuable as Dollar Tree(Which makes more than double the mney and growing and sells basic necessesities to the growing impoverished in this country).

        The growth story is the only thing going for this company along with the margins, but once the growth completely slows(and it is slowing down pretty fast as it is now growing at 30% compared to 60-66% a year ago or so. So growth slows, margins are going to get hit, inventory is going to build up.

        The CEO of this company doesn't even make believe this company is worth what the market is pretending it is worth for whatever reason. She has sold all her shares excet the ones she recieved in options this year. She made 25M dollars in two years from the market. She'll probably retire in a year or two.

        Z

 
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