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GNC Holdings Inc. Message Board

  • investora2z investora2z Apr 21, 2013 11:42 AM Flag

    Earnings on April 26

    Q1'13 results for GNC will be declared on April 26. Meanwhile the long term uptrend in the stock remained intact. As expected, the $43 level provided resistance and the stock has corrected slightly from the recent high of $43.94. The current price is about 5% below that, and if there are positive surprises, then the stock may rise above those levels quickly. Recently several analysts have upgraded the stock based on the improvement in its fundamentals over the years. The price targets are in the range of $47 to $50 which is a good 15% upside from the current levels. It is trading above the short term averages of $40.45 (50 DMA) & $37.40 (200 DMA). The volumes have been robust with the three month and the two month averages being around 2 million shares. The last quarter was good on a YoY basis with revenue & net income growth of more than 10% & 25% respectively. The valuations appear to be a little high with a P/E in excess of 18 and a high price to book of 4.70. However, the forward P/E of 12.58 and low PEG indicate that the market has expectations for good growth in earnings. The market cap to sales is also reasonable at 1.71. This is despite a good run of more than 31% from the 52 week low ($30.92) made in January. The D/E ratio has been a matter of concern for GNC with debt being around $1.1 billion. The earnings and the guidance will be the key for the short term trend for the stock. The market for supplements is growing with companies like MusclePharm (MSLP) showing exceptional growth and improvement in margins. MSLP sells its products through WAG. GNC needs to continuously tap new segments of the market to boost sales and margins. Let us see what the management has to say about its future strategy.

44.34-0.49(-1.09%)Jan 30 4:02 PMEST

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