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Pacific Ethanol, Inc. Message Board

  • baldingcontrarian baldingcontrarian Apr 13, 2014 4:22 PM Flag

    Geez, margins for this past week are out already. In one word 'STUNNING!' ended the week at 1.49/g

    as per Iowa St CARD dept., does NOT include,
    corn oil
    RIN's
    West Coast premium, net of trans.

    The third to last number is margin per gallon.
    In January and October margins dipped to exactly .39 after big moves, now our dip was .99
    People were kvetching about how ethanol had retraced some of its enormous move of Jan-March and for that reason they were selling pixie.
    Remember $1/g margins gets 200MM annual cash flow with Madera open. A 6x multiple would be very conservative.
    So pick your average margin and model the time frame you are looking for and see what you get.

    3/13/2014,2.44,4.69,6.09,1.04,0.94,0.46
    3/14/2014,2.45,4.57,6.14,1.08,0.91,0.46
    3/17/2014,2.62,4.48,6.25,1.3,0.86,0.46
    3/18/2014,2.75,4.56,6.17,1.41,0.87,0.46
    3/19/2014,2.88,4.57,6.19,1.55,0.87,0.46
    3/20/2014,2.98,4.48,6.08,1.66,0.86,0.46
    3/21/2014,3.03,4.48,6.02,1.71,0.86,0.46
    3/24/2014,3.1,4.67,5.99,1.73,0.91,0.46
    3/25/2014,3.09,4.64,6.12,1.72,0.91,0.46
    3/26/2014,3.06,4.62,6.11,1.7,0.9,0.46
    3/27/2014,3.13,4.69,6.29,1.75,0.92,0.46
    3/28/2014,3.37,4.69,6.2,1.99,0.92,0.46
    3/31/2014,3.45,4.78,6.08,1.99,1,0.46
    4/1/2014,3.51,4.83,5.99,2.04,1.01,0.46
    4/2/2014,3.19,4.72,6.07,1.75,0.99,0.46
    4/3/2014,2.69,4.76,6.18,1.24,1,0.46
    4/4/2014,2.4,4.78,6.15,0.94,1,0.46
    4/7/2014,2.92,4.74,6.19,1.47,0.99,0.46
    4/8/2014,2.84,4.82,6.24,1.38,1.01,0.46
    4/9/2014,2.84,4.77,6.3,1.38,1,0.46
    4/10/2014,2.96,4.76,6.37,1.5,0.99,0.47
    4/11/2014,2.94,4.74,6.33,1.49,0.99,0.46

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