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Avanir Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Message Board

  • placesontherun37 placesontherun37 Jul 13, 2013 5:55 PM Flag

    AVNR Tracking JAZZ and ONXX.........

    Just ignore short noise and hold long term. Management is doing a fine job:

    - EU approval;

    - AVP-825 picked up for only 20M of borrowed low interest funds;

    - Patent case settled soon; AVP-786 patents are good until 2030 and bulletproof from any generic attack;

    - AVP 923 follow ons coming soon; 5 trials;

    - At least 200M in revenue by the end of AVNR's FY 2015; 12X that equates to a minimum of $15 per share, & then add on the value of AVNR's tremendous patent suite, $20 per share easy in a take out within 24 months' time; I can wait...

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • "20M of borrowed low interest funds"
      We don't know the interest rate-will probably be similar to the 8.95% of the thrity million dollars borrowed on top of the $20 million
      " - AVP 923 follow ons coming soon; 5 trials;"
      Maybe pain indication can be approved by 2019. Wouldn't call that "soon"

      " - At least 200M in revenue by the end of AVNR's FY 2015; 12X that equates to a minimum of $15 per share, & then add on the value of AVNR's tremendous patent suite, $20 per share easy in a take out within 24 months' time;"
      I think 4.5 times revenues would be more fair for a market cap of $900 million and maybe 150 million shares would give a buyout price of about $6