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The Gap, Inc. Message Board

  • misterrightnumber1 misterrightnumber1 Mar 1, 2007 7:49 PM Flag

    big miss for next year

    analsyt eps was 1.00

    GPS projections .76 - .86

    big miss

    should tank tommorow

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    • closing stores genuius....exactly what the market wants them to do. The stock will only go up froom here. A new ceo or a bid by private equity will be the next catalyst to get us to $25

      • 1 Reply to guro5000
      • East guru. Talking about closing stores doesn't increase sales and that continues to be GAPs number one shareholder value problem. Is it a good thing that they'll be getting their costs in line? Yes, but it's a long way from there to $25. If you think a PrEq firm is going to come in with valuation of over $20B for a retail company with declining sales, no real estate assets to leverage for financing, a suspect brand and no established management team I fear you might be a bit unrealistic.

        At their '07 guidance, we're looking at PEs of 21.1 - 23.8. American Eagle and Abercrombie, two competitors that are much better run, are currently at 20.3 and 16.9 respectively and that's on their trailing 12 months.

        I was surprised to see the stock recover in after market, but I don't think that's necessarily a good indicator of broad market sentiment. If this doesn't open up down $0.25 or more, I'll be very surprised. Just my opinion and I could be dead wrong, but we'll find out shortly.

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