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Silicom Ltd. Message Board

  • gfaboud4961 gfaboud4961 Oct 24, 2013 5:39 PM Flag

    If PPS Doesn't Run-up to Q4.....Then ALL my Cash is Going in, In the week B4 Q4 Earnings

    Not Just my Trading Cash, BUT ALL....I expect Q4 to be the Mother of All Qs. I suspect the extra 2 Mil in this Q was shipping for about the Last 2 weeks of the Inventory Build.....Build 12 weeks, but just start shipping the last 2. Q4 will have 12 weeks of Shipping.......12 Mil Extra.....add in the normal big Q for Q4 and Sales could push 30 Mil...............I put the Over and Under at 25 Mil......and personally think 27 Mil........LOAD UP if it doesn't Run up...... anything in the LOW 40s will be a BUY......and if it gets back to the 30s.....Back up the truck!!!!!

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    • Maybe consider setting aside half that cash for vegas....diversification is a good thing.....

      • 1 Reply to false_science
      • IMO....a BAD Q4 of Revs will be 18 Mil.....I would suspect anything YOU bought at 42 You could easily sell at 45-47. Not a Great return, even for one week....but a lot better than B of A will give you.

        Now, If I'm Right and Q4 has 27 Mil....then, IMO, anything You Bought at 42 could easily be sold at 55-62. Now that is a Great return for one week.

        It may well be that it moves UP approaching the Q....but if it doesn't, there is NO GAMBLE involved....Back up the TRUCK.

        I usually don't recommend stocks to friends.....but, this possible trade and return, I'm actually selling , I would LOVE a trade like this one EVERY DAY......You go to Vegas....I'll be ALL IN in SILC!!!!

 
SILC
41.60+0.74(+1.81%)Mar 27 3:59 PMEDT