uvxy inception date: 10/3/11
just in time to catch the ride DOWN from huge volatility highs - with vix in the high fourties.
now, here we are at a point in history, primed for the first meaningfully prolonged and high volatility for the first time since then.
This is why it is very dangerous to extrapolate uvxy's next few months based on the past.
D your own DD.
Here is an interesting read about the relationship between the VIX and the S&P500 with comparison charts. There is also a discussion about trading the VXX.
Go to the scribd site. Insert "Trading Vix Derivatives" in the search window. Then click on the book icon by Russell Rhoads. The free excerpt is about 20 pages long.
yeah you're right. there's more than one of us 'perpetual shorts' on here that sorely wish that we could have that non-existent data. I look at XIV myself for some extrapolation, but in the end it comes down to the same dynamics with numbers that will make everyone's eyes pop if it happens. Be prepared is all you can do. Money management.