Note: Driving by rear view mirror but beats
TOTALLY BLIND.
Weekly Second Opinion - HXL
01/25/99
Symbol: HXL
Name: HEXCEL
CORP
Exchange: NYSE
PRICE
ANALYSIS
Wk. Close
9.50
Wk. Open
8.75
Wk. High
9.50
Wk.
Low
8.63
Wk.
Change
0.81
YrHigh
31.38
YrLow
7.06
Mo Chg
(%)
30.0
Resistance
N/A
Support
9.29
BUY
STOP
9.10
Volatility
(%)
4
Position
100
ADXR
22
OPINION
C-Rate
0.0
NEUTRAL
FROM AVOID
01/25/99
9.50
VOLUME
ANALYSIS
Ave Daily Vol
2084
Mo Chg
(%)
-19.5
*
U/D 0.7 Slope
UP
Obv
BR
*
Pos Obv
BL
Neg Obv
BL
MFI
77 Slope
UP
UPGRADED
TECHNICAL
ANALYSIS
Alpha
-0.41
Beta
1.32
MACD-ST
BL
MACD-LT
BL
50-Day
R.S.
0.64
10-Day M.A.
UP
107
21-Day
M.A.
UP
113
50-Day M.A.
DOWN
104
200-Day M.A.
DOWN
59
STO(Slow %K)
90
STO(Fast %K)
100
Wilders-RSI
73
OBOS
-2
Bollinger Bands
31
RSV
6
POWER
RATING
13
SCORE = 3
COMMENT
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicates a
BULLISH TREND
Chart pattern indicates a POSSIBLE
TREND REVERSAL
Relative Strength is BEARISH
Up/Down volume pattern indicates that the stock is under
ACCUMULATION
The 50 day MOVING AVERAGE is falling which is
BEARISH
The 200 day MOVING AVERAGE is falling which is
BEARISH
LOOK FOR SUPPORT AT 9.29
RECOMMENDATION
STOCK SHOWS STRONGLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS SCORE =
3
IF YOU ARE SHORT THIS STOCK CONSIDER COVERING OR
MONITOR STOCK
CLOSELY
STOCK IS AN EARLY ENTRY BUY
CANDIDATE IF STOCK CLOSES ABOVE 9.10
I got in at 32 and out at 34 because I did not
see any market follow through. The small profit was
nothing to brag on so I didn't mention it. When I don't
argue with the market I keep more profit. Lately I look
for companies with an excellent balance sheet, low
debt load, not like HXL. ITWO looks good and is up
from my entry point, not bad after the roller coster
we've seen lately. I'll be watching this HXL board.
Good trading.
What do you expect a BOTTOM to smell like?
What about ADI? BTW I still have no position in HXL since my last sell at 9 1/16. Why bother to post other than to boast?
it may be a rotten smell. I took my loss in HXL,
went on a trading spree, for a couple of days in PQT,
PER, LANV, cashed out quickly with a tidy profit and
went to HD and ITWO for some needed rest. That action
helped me recoup my losses in HXL. Meanwhile my HD and
ITWO are up, it is nice to be able to breathe again.
I'll be watching HXL but will let you keep smelling
for the bottom, I'd rather go up where the air smells
fresher.
I merely acknowledge an impatient nature.
Hmph.
A99
EGAD this is worst than Alice in Wonderland.
First Angst's confession as impatient invester and now
winmore seduced by techs. Opportunistic trader that I am,
I smell a bottom.
regards
surfmur
may be good advice but I could not stand it
anymore. I sold today, and moved to greener pastures. Of
course, you know why the grass is greener on the other
side of the fence? Because, that's where the manure
is!!!! Anyway, I choose to go with the high flying techs
PER and ADI, I may have been sucked in by the updraft
but I just couldn't hep it.
Unsure: You may be right about IO dipping a bit
further. I think, however, most who were inclined to pull
out during its Autumn slump have already done so.
From all info. I can gather, it's a solid company,
it's just in hibernation.
HXL's sluggishness
remains an irritation. Truth be known, I am not a patient
investor -- These two picks are teaching me that virtue.
A99
great! I just took a look at IO after reading
your posts. Agree that it's quite tempting for the
long-term. I think it's going to plunk down into the low 5s
though before it truly bottoms; that's where my limit
order is going to be... THANKS for the tip.
Go
HXL!!!!
Couldn't resist but although both cyclical
"value" plays IO has big time insider buying and better
financials. IO may be a take over ala WAI or a turnaround
play on the energy sector. One screaming buy for the
patient investor at these levels. First made aware of it
by well respected technical analyst @ 16 "best buy";
glad I didn't. At these levels, I couldn't resist
initial partial position. FA & TA stink but insiders,
valuations, and financials make the case. HXL's looking
better; worst may be behind unless economic strength
causes Fed change.
Hang tough and resist selling as
soon as you get even!
regards
surfmur