I agree that Insider Buy is quite interesting, in a period where there have not been that many of them.
Key analysts are still split down the middle on this one.
But those who are Bullish believe that management was very, very smart pre-announcing the disappointment weeks ahead re the last earnings report. It let everybody pre-position as they wanted to, which is good behavior.
They have not pre-announced this time. And the Bullish analysts think because of reduced expectations, they could now be set for UPOP in the next report, which is in early January.
Remember, this is now a largely institutional stock, and the Shorts are not all that powerful any longer.
If we DO get UPOP, the path of least resistance might well be a surprise rally. RBS, I think it is, has a target of 12.