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Condor Hospitality Trust Inc. Message Board

  • research11101 research11101 Feb 7, 2013 12:26 AM Flag

    FFO Free cash flow

    Anyone care to make a prediction of F F O for
    2013?

    Sentiment: Strong Buy

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    • I think FFO of $0.27/share is possible or $0.08 on a fully diluted basis if you assume the 30mm IRSA convertibles into equity and then on top of that the 30MM warrants at $1.20. So with 83mm shares fully diluted, I see this co at $6.3MM in FFO. I basically figure revs of $73MM when Hilton Garden Inn goes for a full year, hotel ops of $53MM or so, D&A 7.6MM, G&A of $4MM, you're at EBIT of $8.4MM. Int exp they are saving $1.1MM with the new deal, so I have them around 6.4MM, so $2MM of EBT. no takes, then calc $3.3MM of preferreds between the $8MM at 8%, $8MM at 10%, and $30MM at 6.25% = net to common of -$1.3MM. add back D&A and you're at $6.3MM FFO.

 
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