Ok - I think everyone is trying to read between your lines in your comment. A couple points -
* OPK appreciated from sub-$5 to over $10 in the past year without releasing any of their "bets" -- I think this statement would go against your dead money theory
* You'd have a better argument about dead money in 2012 as the stock when lower mid year, but hovered in the $4 range. Me, I wouldn't call my investment in OPK in Feb-12 as dead money.
* Buy low…sell high. You need to get into the stock pre-release of products or you'll be buying high.
You may call it dead money, but if people wait until after information / events happen - you are buying at the fully valued price and not making money. Stock valuations are for the future, not the present.
Gobrokefast: ( What a name!! let us hope that your financial condition is not a reflected in your name)
There was even lesser reason for the stock to appreciate from $4 to where it is now. If logic and reasoning were the only criteria for success on WallStreet, then we would hardly have any losers. You cannot model investor sentiment and other factors into any model.
Let me give you another simple, but more powerful truth - yes the sun rises in the east.
And you can't understand English either. What a shame. And it is my day job. I have not had a good year. Only up about $130000. Should be up twice that much. But hindsight is 20/20, but maybe that is not true in your case.