Cheap Wind Power Disrupting Brazilian Energy Market
April 18, 2013 Nicholas Brown
As the cost of wind power drops, and the wind industry grows, wind farms have a greater impact on electricity markets. And one of those big impacts is reducing the price of electricity.
As we’ve been writing for years, due to the merit order effect, wind power lowers the price of wholesale electricity. At the same time, due to technology improvements and cost reductions from economies of scale, the overall cost of wind power has been coming down. As an example of that, the cost of wind power in Brazil has fallen 41% since 2009!
Wind farms have won 55% of contracts awarded by Brazil’s national energy agency, Empresa de Pesquisa Energetica, and wind power now costs about $45/MWh (4.5 cents/kWh) in the country. This has been deterring the construction of gas-fired power plants, prompting the decline of some bids from wind farms so that at least some gas-fired plants are built.
When the wind picks up, wind farms generate electricity very cheaply. So cheaply that they undercut the prices of the rest of the power plants.
Furthermore, as noted above, there’s the merit order effect. Here’s a short explanation of the merit order effect: “Electricity providers bid in order to sell their electricity on the electric grid. Because solar and wind don’t have fuel costs, the extra cost to supply electricity (when the sun is shining and the wind is blowing) is basically $0. With subsidies or feed-in tariffs, they can even sell for negative prices and make a profit. As a result of these clean energy sources’ $0 fuel costs, they can outbid every other energy source. And the overall effect from down-bidding everyone is that the wholesale price of electricity is lowered.”
Empresa de Pesquisa Energetica is now introducing separate categories for the electricity market, where fossil-fueled power plants can bid against other, and wind projects compete in a...
The cost is anything but zero dollars. That is a fantasy.
I am guessing here - an outright guess - that it's cost is comparable or maybe even higher.
I say this based on the Dutch taking down their windmills at sea last year. If the Dutch can't
make a windmill work for profit, that tells you something.