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Apple Inc. Message Board

  • tamnad tamnad Sep 10, 2013 12:26 AM Flag

    Behavior Of Apple Stock On The Release Date In The Past!

    With the release of Apple's new iPhone (s), investors may be wondering how Apple stock will behave on the release date. Let's take a look at how Apple's stock price has moved for the previous iPhone releases to see what we can learn.

    iPhone 4S announcement October 4, 2011
    Open $374.90
    Low $354.24 (5.3% down)

    iPhone 5 announcement September 12, 2012
    Open $680.45
    Low $656.00 (3.6% down)

    Today, I turned bearish for the next 1-10 days but I am bullish mid to long term (6-12 months). The positive effect of the iPhone5c in China and emerging markets will show up in the quarters to come.

    For Tuesday's/Wednesday's announcement, I'll expect the stock to sell off. Two support level to watch for: $487.22 and $467.36. I turned bearish since the key resistance ($507.74) was not broken, again. Please check the chart on August 15, 2013 and today's chart then you will see that $507.74 is a major resistance.

    Please don't get me wrong. I am bullish mid to long term (6-12 months) but bearish on (very) short term.

    I bought Sept 2013 490 put option (sold my shares around $507.00).

    I hope I could be of help.

    Good luck!

    TAM

    Sentiment: Sell

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    • One thing that is missing is the 33 million shares Apple bought back in the most recent stock buy back reducing the float so these specific share price comparisons no longer apply as the floats do not match.

      Sentiment: Strong Buy

    • You hope you could be of help? You were of help. Help to teach everyone to do their own DD because you just posted a bunch of beee essssss! You better try a different tactic to talk up your short in apple Jack #$%$!

    • Open. Hi. Low. Close. Volume

      Sep 17, 2012 699.35 699.80 694.61 699.78 14,215,400
      Sep 14, 2012 689.96 696.98 687.89 691.28 21,445,500
      Sep 13, 2012 677.37 685.50 674.77 682.98 21,370,000
      Sep 12, 2012 666.85 669.90 656.00 669.79 25,436,900
      Sep 11, 2012 665.11 670.10 656.50 660.59 17,999,400

      Can't figure out if you're misleading, a liar, or just stupid.

      Closed day before at 660... Closed day of at 670 (1.5% up)

      • 1 Reply to call_sprds
      • Oct 11, 2011 392.57 403.18 391.50 400.29 21,631,700
        Oct 10, 2011 379.09 388.81 378.21 388.81 15,804,500
        Oct 7, 2011 375.78 377.74 368.49 369.80 19,123,500
        Oct 6, 2011 373.33 384.78 371.80 377.37 29,020,800
        Oct 5, 2011 367.86 379.82 360.30 378.25 28,088,200
        Oct 4, 2011 374.57 381.80 354.24 372.50 44,059,900
        Oct 3, 2011 380.37 382.64 373.17 374.60 23,896,400

        Yes... It went down on oct 4 to 354... But closed down $2. Up 8% over the next week

    • I do agree with your comment "positive effect of the iPhone5c in China and emerging markets" but that is pretty much all AAPL has, they are grasping at straws.

      Sentiment: Strong Sell

 
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